EUR/USD Desk — Fed–ECB Divergence & Level Monitor

EUR/USD —

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Open—

Prev close—

Day range—

52w range—

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Policy rate differential

Fed − ECB

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Fed funds (upper)—

ECB deposit rate—

Real spread—

Carry pips/day—

Carry pips/yr—

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Daily volatility

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today's high–low range

ATR(14) pips—

RV 20d ann.—

RV 60d ann.—

vs ATR(14)—

20d vs 60d RV—

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Divergence signal

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—/ 100

0 · euro50 neutraldollar · 100

52-week position—

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Key level ladder

Levels derived from the price series itself — moving averages, 52-week extremes, recent swing pivots and the round figures where strikes and stops cluster. Distance shown in pips and in ATR(14) units.

MajorStrong MediumMinorSpot

30-day rolling correlation — EUR/USD vs. VIX

Pearson correlation of daily returns. Negative = the euro falls as fear rises, the classic dollar-as-haven bid; positive = the dollar is being sold into stress, which usually means the story is about the US rather than Europe.

corr vs VIX—

corr vs S&P 500—

5-day Δ—

Rate path scoreboard

Where each bank has actually moved across the five decisions on the tape.

Inflation & the real spread

Policy rates deflated by each bloc's own headline print.